Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 73812.064368 78017.219820 82226.106165 86751.715378 91477.128910 96262.471856 101471.698115
2025-03-30 67307.220912 73758.641781 80400.889567 87740.969274 95614.997567 103798.366554 112936.315988
2025-04-06 62139.390431 70087.350036 78455.913296 87904.116646 98254.157211 109226.829286 121718.459718
2025-04-13 57991.586574 67025.279926 76718.330168 87859.489032 100277.310382 113658.480622 129133.186429
2025-04-20 55420.612700 65417.440456 76319.345546 89042.577445 103433.082923 119153.689370 137573.623712
2025-04-27 53253.329549 64064.891874 76028.376161 90181.882441 106399.345071 124330.656234 145583.357496
2025-05-04 51042.051897 62502.290794 75356.450573 90756.024687 108612.868343 128575.269046 152483.085036
2025-05-11 48779.266248 60744.421300 74337.918516 90816.882071 110139.575025 131962.948416 158352.931643
2025-05-18 46854.897427 59278.351414 73563.051688 91071.883789 111815.601139 135466.385461 164320.930944
2025-05-25 45035.736092 57846.281539 72745.880318 91200.554197 113279.581056 138677.606607 169922.337351
2025-06-01 43911.739308 57192.862377 72802.847945 92322.810541 115884.404019 143206.531328 177070.696997
2025-06-08 42224.301021 55777.023632 71876.397572 92202.774560 116956.963063 145893.355757 182026.363503
2025-06-15 41363.419531 55362.608147 72157.179197 93550.474329 119818.137676 150750.483545 189639.526992
2025-06-22 40312.898086 54668.541581 72060.587877 94410.788101 122075.948603 154890.514583 196421.939007
2025-06-29 38976.826618 53561.169260 71405.815557 94540.958867 123409.753285 157899.495044 201840.869142
2025-07-06 37635.360602 52396.763941 70634.332744 94483.981916 124479.342111 160566.525075 206838.565910
2025-07-13 36979.437033 52089.384727 70920.497119 95736.586380 127166.121183 165213.514215 214275.524139
2025-07-20 36344.182776 51781.557132 71183.962064 96944.247971 129790.286279 169790.032208 221650.227170
2025-07-27 35482.296746 51143.033374 70995.591556 97552.909420 131645.961013 173413.487808 227860.787768
2025-08-03 34432.147252 50218.727367 70405.818685 97617.409913 132790.520629 176141.329788 232961.536883
2025-08-10 33520.865677 49450.958722 69993.405658 97887.771235 134180.843798 179169.885054 238444.480328
2025-08-17 32598.786749 48639.033545 69496.413933 98024.190301 135381.915933 181952.689004 243624.119457
2025-08-24 32141.790178 48447.344507 69808.237006 99213.951377 137943.178446 186465.852079 251011.899221